Why Surveys are going Haywire?

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TIMES Now C-Voter opinion poll & Ajtak-ORG survey are the latest and last two surveys before Delhi elections. But results of these two surveys are showing different results. AAP with 18 seats is going to be a game spoiler for both Congress and BJP in coming assembly elections as per C-Voter survey. Whereas another survey done by Aajtak & ORG showing only 8 seats for AAP and clear majority to BJP. This is happening because of the variation of vote share they are showing for the AAP. It is interesting that except the AAP survey all surveys are giving AAP a voting percentage ranging from 14 to 23. Unless we have a look at how does Delhi vote, we cannot understand the missing point in this arithmetic.

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