Key Contenders in the first phase of Lok Sabha Elections 2024
The first phase of Lok Sabha elections, which will have 102 seats, is going to be a mixed phase in which no party has a clear edge. Half of the Manipur outer seat is also being included in the seat tally. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, among these seats, the BJP won 40 seats, while the Congress party was next with 15 seats. The BJP was runner-up with 15 seats, while the Congress party had 38 seats.
All 39 LS seats in Tamil Nadu are voting in the first phase . Tamil Nadu is the biggest state in the South in terms of seats. The BJP has a lot of hope in Tamil Nadu in number of seats and number of votes too. The Prime Minister and the other BJP leaders have toured a lot and are looking for a West Bengal kind of result from Tamil Nadu in 2024. Puducherry is also the seat on which the BJP is eyeing its alliance with the AINRC. The BJP did not win any seats in Tamil Nadu in 2019.
In the first phase of polling of Lok Sabha Elections 2024, the BJP is eyeing the Andaman and Nicobar Islands seats, as it lost by a slender margin of 1407 votes to the Congress party. Andaman and Nicobar Islands is one of the 15 seats that the BJP lost to the Congress party in 2019 in a direct contest. Lakshadweep is the seat that was decided by the lowest margin of 823 votes among the seats in the first phase. In this seat, the Nationalist Congress party defeated the Congress party.
The Congress party will try its best to grab the seat. After division in the NCP, the sitting MP Mohammed Faizal Padippura switched himself to NCP(SP) of Sharad Pawar. So the Congress party has high hopes that, due to the division of votes between the NCP and the SP, the party will win this seat. Lakshadweep is the seat on which the BJP got least vote in 2019 LS elections. The Lakshadweep seat was represented by P. M. Sayeed for many terms. The NDA alliance is contesting the seat. The NDA is hopeful of repeating its 2004 performance on the Lakshadweep seat. In 2004, the seat was won by the BJP partner, the JDU, as an NDA candidate.
Of the first phase of 102 seats in 2019, on 38 seats, there was a direct contest between the BJP and the Congress party. The BJP won 32 seats, while the Congress party won 6 seats. The BJP will try its best to win these six seats against the Congress party. Two seats Sivaganga and Kanyakumari are in Tamil Nadu and the BJP is trying its best to win the seats. On both seats of Meghalaya the National People’s Party(NPP) is contesting in alliance and has not put its candidate. This is the strategy of the BJP to give space to its allies and grow along with its alliance partner. Shillong Lok Sabha seat result is going to be critical as the INC candidate and outgoing MP from the seat Vincent Pala lost in Assembly election from Sutnga Saipung , one of the ACs within Shillong LS seat.
In the first phase of seats, the BJP won all 5 seats against the Congress party in Uttarakhand, both seats in Arunachal Pradesh, and all three seats against the All India Trinamool Congress in West Bengal. Out of the 8 seats, the BJP won only three seats in 2019.The BJP, or NDA, won all 12 LS seats in Rajasthan in 2019. In Madhya Pradesh, of the 6 seats going to the polls in the first phase, the BJP won all but Chhindwara.
If we consider the margin-wise results, the DMK won Dingdigul Lok Sabha seat by highest margin of 5,38,972 votes against the PMK, now an ally of the NDA. Among all the seats the highest vote any candidate garnered was on Jaipur seat by BJP candidate Ramcharan Bohara . On Lakshadweep LS seat the Mohammed Faizal P. P. Of the then NCP got 22851 and won the seat. This is the lowest vote tally by any candidate to win the seat in 2019 LS elections.
As per ground situation the BJP seat tally will increase in this round of voting.
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