The first phase of the Lok Sabha elections, which have 102 seats, will be a mixed phase in which no party has a transparent edge. Half of the Manipur outer seat is also included in the seat tally. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, among these seats, the (Bharatiya Janata Party) BJP won 40 seats, while the Congress party was next with 15 seats. The BJP was a runner-up on 15 seats, while the Congress party had 38 seats.
All 39 Tamil Nadu Lok Sabha seats will be voted in this round. Tamil Nadu is the most significant state in the South regarding seats. The BJP has a lot of hope in Tamil Nadu regarding the number of seats and votes, too. The Prime Minister and the other BJP leaders have toured the state a lot and are looking for West Bengal results from Tamil Nadu in 2024. Puducherry is also the seat that the BJP is eyeing, considering its alliance with the AINRC. The BJP did not win any seat in Tamil Nadu in 2019.
In the first phase of polling, the BJP is eyeing the Andaman and Nicobar Islands seat as it lost by a slender margin of 1407 votes to the Congress party. Andaman and Nicobar Islands is one of the 15 seats the BJP lost to the Congress party in 2019 in a direct contest. Lakshadweep is the seat decided by the lowest margin of 823 votes among the seats in the first phase. In this seat, the Nationalist Congress defeated the Congress party. The Congress party will try its best to grab the seat. After the division in the NCP, the sitting MP Mohammed Faizal Padippura switched himself to the NCP(SP) of Sharad Pawar. So, Congress hopes it will win this seat due to the division of votes between the NCP and the NCP(SP). Lakshadweep is the seat on which the BJP got the least votes in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. PM Sayeed represented Lakshadweep’s seat for many terms. From the NDA alliance, the NCP is contesting the seat. The NDA is hopeful of repeating its 2004 performance on Lakshadweep seat. In 2004, the seat was won by BJP partner the JDU as NDA candidate.
Of the first phase, 102 seats in 2019, on 38 seats, there was a direct contest between the BJP and the INC. The BJP won 32, while the Congress party won 6 seats. The BJP will try its best to win these six seats against the Congress party. Two seats, Sivaganga and Kanyakumari, are in Tamil Nadu, and the BJP is trying its best to win the seats. On both seats of Meghalaya, the National People’s Party(NPP) is contesting in alliance and has yet to put its candidate. This is the strategy of the BJP to give space to its allies and grow along with its alliance partner. The Shillong Lok Sabha seat result will be critical as the INC candidate and outgoing MP, Vincent Pala, lost in the Assembly election from Sutnga Saipung, one of the ACs within the Shillong Lok Sabha seat.
In the first phase of seats, the BJP won all five seats against the Congress party in Uttarakhand, both in Arunachal Pradesh and all three seats against the All India Trinamool Congress in West Bengal. Of the eight seats in UP, the BJP won only three seats in 2019. The BJP or the NDA won all the 12 Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan in 2019. Of the six seats polling in the first phase, the BJP won all but Chhindwara in Madhya Pradesh.
If we consider the margin-wise results, the DMK won the Dingdigul Lok Sabha seat by the largest margin, 5,38,972 votes, against the PMK, now an ally of the NDA. Among all the seats, the highest vote any candidate garnered was on the Jaipur seat by BJP candidate Ramcharan Bohara. On the Lakshadweep Lok Sabha seat, Mohammed Faizal P. P. of the then NCP got 22851 votes and won the seat. This is the lowest vote tally by any candidate to win the seat in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
As per the ground situation, the BJP seat tally will increase in this round of voting.
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