India and the United States are set to sign a long-awaited interim trade agreement this week, marking a significant diplomatic and economic milestone. Sources said the deal was finalised after months of intense discussions between senior officials, with direct involvement from Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump.
This agreement signals a revival of Trump’s signature trade diplomacy, aiming to balance bilateral trade while safeguarding American farmers and manufacturers, all while acknowledging India’s strategic importance.
Key Deal Highlights
Agriculture: Limited market access, GM crops off the table
India has granted restricted access to certain agricultural products but firmly maintained its ban on genetically modified crops—a position reportedly accepted by the US side after lengthy negotiations.
Tariff Structure Adjusted – No across-the-board cuts
India agreed to a baseline tariff of 10 per cent on most goods imported into the US. In return, the US accepted India’s request to avoid blanket tariff reductions, opting instead for a product-specific approach. Under the agreement, Indian exports to the US will face tariffs slightly above 10 per cent, while US goods entering India will incur average tariffs ranging from 5 per cent to 8 per cent.
Dairy excluded, Processed foods allowed
Despite strong US pressure for full dairy access, India held its ground, permitting only processed food items under the agreement. This approach aims to safeguard India’s rural economy while providing some opportunities for US agribusiness.
Auto sector simplified
A significant achievement for both nations, the deal establishes a single unified tariff structure for all automobile categories, streamlining trade regulations and easing market entry for American car manufacturers.
Strategic optics and political timing
The timing of this deal is pivotal for both leaders. For President Trump, it delivers a high-visibility trade win ahead of re-election efforts, without upsetting American farmers and manufacturers. For Prime Minister Modi, it reinforces his image as a firm yet pragmatic negotiator, capable of strengthening global partnerships while protecting India’s core interests.
Diplomatic analysts see this interim pact as a potential stepping stone toward a long-discussed Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between India and the US. With both leaders known for assertive diplomacy, the agreement is being hailed as a bold move in advancing Indo-US strategic alignment.
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