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In a surprising turnaround, the Nifty 50 index bounced back to the levels it was at before the exit polls, overcoming the election worries that had shaken the market earlier. On June 5, both the Sensex and Nifty ended the day 3.2 percent higher, helped by investors looking for good deals after both indexes dropped almost 6 percent the day before. The rise in Nifty was mainly driven by strong performances in bank, automobile, and FMCG stocks, showing that investors are feeling confident again.
Sanjeev Hota, Head of Research at Sharekhan said that the market was surprised by the previous day’s events. But once it became clear that the BJP would continue to lead the government, the markets improved significantly. This positive change was evident as the Sensex increased by 2,303 points (3.2 percent) to finish at 74,382, and the Nifty 50 rose by 689 points to end at 22,573. In the market, 2,321 shares went up, 1,031 shares went down, and 76 shares stayed the same.
The big drop on June 4, where both Nifty and Sensex fell by almost 6 percent mainly happened because the BJP-led NDA temporary alliance barely won the 2024 national elections. But even though the market reacted strongly at first, it soon balanced out as the uncertainty about the election results decreased. Vaibhav Porwal, who is the co-founder of Dezerv, said that people investing in the market should remember that having a BJP-led coalition government isn’t always bad for the economy. He pointed out that between 1989 and 2014, India’s GDP grew by more than 8 percent every year when there were coalition governments in charge.
Moving ahead, on June 5, the market saw a widespread recovery, with all 13 different sectors showing gains. Specifically, sectors like banking, automobile, and consumer goods saw significant increases, each rose by more than 4 percent. Big companies like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Reliance Industries Limited mainly led this surge. Apart from just a few companies like Bharat Petroleum and Larsen & Toubro, nearly all the other 48 companies in the Nifty 50 index also saw gains. This shows that the improvement of the market was not limited to specific sectors but spread across many areas. Such a widespread rally also indicates a stronger and more balanced market recovery, which is a good environment for investors to participate in various sectors.
Market expert Karan Taurani, Senior VP of Research at Elara Capital, mentioned that investors are increasingly favoring FMCG stocks because they’re not much affected by election results. This idea was also supported by Sanjeev Hota, who suggested that traders should adjust their investment portfolios towards safer areas like FMCG, pharma, and IT for the short term. However, stocks related to industries like capital goods, defense, infrastructure, real estate, and PSUs may face more ups and downs in the future. Market experts advise making strategic changes in investment plans by focusing on sectors that aren’t easily influenced by changes in the economy or politics.
The India VIX, a measure of market volatility, shot up to 30 on June 4 but fell sharply by 29 percent to 19 on June 5. This big drop shows that the market is calming down after being spooked by the Lok Sabha election results and is becoming less uncertain. However, experts of the market suggest that things might still be a bit shaky until we know more about the new government’s cabinet and important positions. This could make it more appealing for investors, especially those who prefer safer investments.
Even after the ups and downs in the short term, the stock market has shown that it can bounce back. Looking at how governments have worked together in the past also gives hope for the future. This means that investors may stay hopeful about India’s market, especially if things stay stable and the economy keeps growing steadily. Also, in the next few weeks, how well the market does will mostly depend on how clear the new government’s plans are and who they pick for important roles in the cabinet. People in the market will pay close attention to these things to figure out how they might affect different parts of the economy.
The Nifty bouncing back quickly shows how strong the Indian market is, even when there’s political uncertainty. The fact that banking, auto, and FMCG stocks led this recovery proves that investors believe in these sectors, no matter what happens in elections. As the new government forms, the markets should become steadier, which could mean good chances for investors to make gains.
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